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Red84
731232.2
463923.9
589221.3
Blue58
288127.7
913627.2
541126.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions767350607080901001108458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.20.7
23.724.4
Auto11.3
Teleop17.7
End3.2
red by 4.5
2881
#15
27.70.6
23.723.1
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End2.3
Second
23.90.7
19.320.0
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End3.5
blue by 3.3
9136
#10
27.20.6
23.823.2
Auto7.5
Teleop17.3
End2.4
Third
5892
#23
21.30.7
25.726.4
Auto6.7
Teleop13.0
End1.6
blue by 5.3
5411
#29
26.50.6
19.318.7
Auto8.5
Teleop17.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned80%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsEarned25%Ensemble oddsMissed