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Red59
41822.4
582920.2
761622.9
Blue67
21589.3
147735.3
859812.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions466602060801001205967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7616
#24
22.91.0
15.216.2
Auto7.6
Teleop14.3
End1.1
blue by 12.4
35.30.3
33.734.0
Auto15.2
Teleop15.6
End4.5
Second
418
#18
22.41.0
17.218.2
Auto9.4
Teleop12.3
End0.7
red by 9.7
8598
#36
12.60.3
14.915.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End1.9
Third
5829
#22
20.21.0
11.312.3
Auto7.7
Teleop11.7
End0.8
red by 10.8
2158
#40
9.30.3
8.58.9
Auto3.7
Teleop5.9
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed