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Red98
912844.0
510310.2
667238.7
Blue59
23128.9
801912.9
873213.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102572040801201401609859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.00.1
36.336.4
Auto15.6
Teleop25.5
End3.0
red by 15.1
231
#11
28.90.1
27.427.5
Auto7.1
Teleop17.5
End4.4
Second
38.70.1
36.736.8
Auto10.8
Teleop25.0
End2.8
red by 25.0
8732
#43
13.70.1
9.69.7
Auto6.3
Teleop7.3
End0.1
Third
5103
#41
10.20.1
14.014.0
Auto4.4
Teleop4.8
End1.0
blue by 2.7
8019
#42
12.90.1
20.220.4
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsEarned44%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned63%Ensemble oddsMissed