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Red50
510310.2
303515.0
637726.3
Blue93
147735.3
949215.1
913627.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5977020401001201405093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6377
#12
26.30.4
25.625.2
Auto6.8
Teleop18.0
End1.5
blue by 9.0
35.31.0
33.734.7
Auto15.2
Teleop15.6
End4.5
Second
3035
#39
15.00.4
15.715.4
Auto7.9
Teleop6.4
End0.8
blue by 12.2
9136
#10
27.21.0
23.024.1
Auto7.5
Teleop17.3
End2.4
Third
5103
#41
10.20.4
14.313.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.8
End1.0
blue by 4.8
9492
#32
15.11.0
10.811.9
Auto3.8
Teleop9.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed59%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsEarned