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Red57
589221.3
750314.5
550317.0
Blue58
873213.7
914026.9
635716.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564602040801005758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5892
#23
21.30.3
26.426.1
Auto6.7
Teleop13.0
End1.6
blue by 5.6
9140
#16
26.91.0
19.120.1
Auto9.1
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Second
5503
#37
17.00.3
12.712.4
Auto7.5
Teleop7.3
End2.3
red by 0.4
6357
#25
16.71.0
14.515.5
Auto6.2
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Third
7503
#35
14.50.3
10.710.4
Auto4.7
Teleop7.7
End2.0
red by 0.8
8732
#43
13.71.0
9.310.3
Auto6.3
Teleop7.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed