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Red77
356122.1
857315.3
258229.0
Blue84
367633.6
541126.5
258318.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6570204060801001207784

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.00.8
26.527.4
Auto9.8
Teleop16.2
End3.0
blue by 4.6
33.61.4
26.728.1
Auto15.7
Teleop15.4
End2.6
Second
3561
#27
22.10.8
17.518.3
Auto9.5
Teleop10.4
End2.2
blue by 4.5
5411
#29
26.51.4
19.420.8
Auto8.5
Teleop17.2
End0.9
Third
8573
#26
15.30.8
15.716.5
Auto9.6
Teleop3.5
End2.2
blue by 3.3
2583
#19
18.61.4
16.718.1
Auto7.9
Teleop8.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned58%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned