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Red64
41822.4
731232.2
801912.9
Blue61
975232.1
464123.3
94077.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7461020401001201401606461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.20.1
25.024.9
Auto11.3
Teleop17.7
End3.2
red by 0.1
9752
#20
32.10.3
31.031.3
Auto11.9
Teleop18.5
End1.7
Second
418
#18
22.40.1
18.918.8
Auto9.4
Teleop12.3
End0.7
blue by 1.0
4641
#31
23.30.3
20.220.6
Auto10.1
Teleop12.0
End1.3
Third
8019
#42
12.90.1
21.321.2
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End1.6
red by 5.7
9407
#38
7.20.3
5.25.5
Auto1.9
Teleop4.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
44%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed