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Red69
373522.7
910523.1
21589.3
Blue116
11841.4
246841.7
837017.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51111010015069116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9105
#17
23.10.7
21.722.4
Auto8.6
Teleop12.5
End2.0
blue by 18.6
2468
#14
41.70.9
38.339.2
Auto8.7
Teleop29.5
End3.5
Second
3735
#30
22.70.7
21.321.9
Auto8.8
Teleop12.1
End1.9
blue by 18.7
118
#2
41.40.9
37.538.4
Auto15.3
Teleop19.4
End6.7
Third
2158
#40
9.30.7
10.010.7
Auto3.7
Teleop5.9
End-0.2
blue by 8.1
8370
#28
17.40.9
17.718.6
Auto5.9
Teleop10.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed66%Ensemble oddsEarned