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Red127
246841.7
373522.7
667238.7
Blue62
464123.3
541126.5
23128.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112715010015012762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#14
41.71.9
39.241.1
Auto8.7
Teleop29.5
End3.5
red by 12.7
231
#11
28.90.5
27.827.3
Auto7.1
Teleop17.5
End4.4
Second
38.71.9
35.137.0
Auto10.8
Teleop25.0
End2.8
red by 12.1
5411
#29
26.50.5
20.820.3
Auto8.5
Teleop17.2
End0.9
Third
3735
#30
22.71.9
21.923.9
Auto8.8
Teleop12.1
End1.9
blue by 0.6
4641
#31
23.30.5
20.620.1
Auto10.1
Teleop12.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsEarned35%Ensemble oddsMissed