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Red40
859812.6
550317.0
510310.2
Blue101
258318.6
975232.1
11841.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3610605015040101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5503
#37
17.00.1
14.414.3
Auto7.5
Teleop7.3
End2.3
blue by 24.4
118
#2
41.40.5
38.439.0
Auto15.3
Teleop19.4
End6.7
Second
8598
#36
12.60.1
14.214.1
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End1.9
blue by 19.4
9752
#20
32.10.5
31.331.8
Auto11.9
Teleop18.5
End1.7
Third
5103
#41
10.20.1
12.612.5
Auto4.4
Teleop4.8
End1.0
blue by 8.4
2583
#19
18.60.5
18.118.7
Auto7.9
Teleop8.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed37%Ensemble oddsEarned