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Red65
94077.2
147735.3
947822.4
Blue101
731232.2
912844.0
914026.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67985015065101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.30.1
36.136.2
Auto15.2
Teleop15.6
End4.5
blue by 8.8
44.01.1
38.239.3
Auto15.6
Teleop25.5
End3.0
Second
9478
#33
22.40.1
22.322.4
Auto9.1
Teleop10.1
End3.2
blue by 9.7
32.21.1
24.925.9
Auto11.3
Teleop17.7
End3.2
Third
9407
#38
7.20.1
5.55.6
Auto1.9
Teleop4.9
End0.4
blue by 19.7
9140
#16
26.91.1
22.123.2
Auto9.1
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsMissed85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned35%Ensemble oddsMissed