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Red64
873213.7
258229.0
582920.2
Blue69
857315.3
637726.3
300549.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5210301506469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.00.7
27.127.8
Auto9.8
Teleop16.2
End3.0
blue by 20.1
49.21.7
44.042.3
Auto15.5
Teleop29.7
End4.1
Second
5829
#22
20.20.7
15.416.1
Auto7.7
Teleop11.7
End0.8
blue by 6.1
6377
#12
26.31.7
26.624.9
Auto6.8
Teleop18.0
End1.5
Third
8732
#43
13.70.7
10.911.6
Auto6.3
Teleop7.3
End0.1
blue by 1.6
8573
#26
15.31.7
16.815.1
Auto9.6
Teleop3.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed