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Red60
750314.5
463923.9
857624.2
Blue76
41822.4
850710.5
589221.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575902040801001201406076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8576
#21
24.20.6
18.519.1
Auto8.5
Teleop13.4
End2.3
red by 1.8
418
#18
22.41.2
18.820.0
Auto9.4
Teleop12.3
End0.7
Second
23.90.6
21.522.1
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End3.5
red by 2.7
5892
#23
21.31.2
24.826.0
Auto6.7
Teleop13.0
End1.6
Third
7503
#35
14.50.6
11.512.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.7
End2.0
red by 4.0
8507
#34
10.51.2
9.410.6
Auto5.4
Teleop3.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
51%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed