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Red33
949215.1
801912.9
850710.5
Blue71
356122.1
635716.7
258318.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4261020801001203371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9492
#32
15.10.8
12.712.0
Auto3.8
Teleop9.5
End1.8
blue by 7.0
3561
#27
22.10.9
21.021.9
Auto9.5
Teleop10.4
End2.2
Second
8019
#42
12.90.8
17.216.5
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End1.6
blue by 5.7
2583
#19
18.60.9
15.816.6
Auto7.9
Teleop8.3
End2.4
Third
8507
#34
10.50.8
10.69.8
Auto5.4
Teleop3.6
End1.4
blue by 6.2
6357
#25
16.70.9
16.217.0
Auto6.2
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed