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Red92
303515.0
912844.0
857624.2
Blue104
913627.2
41822.4
373522.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions847405010015092104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.00.9
39.340.2
Auto15.6
Teleop25.5
End3.0
red by 16.8
9136
#10
27.22.4
23.926.3
Auto7.5
Teleop17.3
End2.4
Second
8576
#21
24.20.9
19.120.0
Auto8.5
Teleop13.4
End2.3
red by 1.4
3735
#30
22.72.4
23.926.3
Auto8.8
Teleop12.1
End1.9
Third
3035
#39
15.00.9
16.217.1
Auto7.9
Teleop6.4
End0.8
blue by 7.3
418
#18
22.42.4
20.022.4
Auto9.4
Teleop12.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed