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Red73
541126.5
637726.3
914026.9
Blue97
761622.9
174519.5
975232.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81650501001502007397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9140
#16
26.90.1
23.924.1
Auto9.1
Teleop16.4
End1.3
blue by 5.2
9752
#20
32.11.7
31.333.1
Auto11.9
Teleop18.5
End1.7
Second
5411
#29
26.50.1
21.821.9
Auto8.5
Teleop17.2
End0.9
red by 3.6
7616
#24
22.91.7
15.917.6
Auto7.6
Teleop14.3
End1.1
Third
6377
#12
26.30.1
25.425.6
Auto6.8
Teleop18.0
End1.5
red by 6.8
1745
#13
19.51.7
13.615.4
Auto6.3
Teleop12.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned65%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed