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Red83
850710.5
356122.1
912844.0
Blue82
288127.7
303515.0
667238.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79842040601001201401608382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.00.4
40.240.6
Auto15.6
Teleop25.5
End3.0
red by 5.4
38.70.1
32.432.5
Auto10.8
Teleop25.0
End2.8
Second
3561
#27
22.10.4
21.922.3
Auto9.5
Teleop10.4
End2.2
blue by 5.6
2881
#15
27.70.1
26.226.3
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End2.3
Third
8507
#34
10.50.4
9.810.2
Auto5.4
Teleop3.6
End1.4
blue by 4.6
3035
#39
15.00.1
17.117.2
Auto7.9
Teleop6.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed