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Red58
857624.2
41822.4
857315.3
Blue79
910523.1
873213.7
147735.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions608520401001201405879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8576
#21
24.20.0
20.020.0
Auto8.5
Teleop13.4
End2.3
blue by 11.1
35.30.4
37.036.6
Auto15.2
Teleop15.6
End4.5
Second
418
#18
22.40.0
22.422.5
Auto9.4
Teleop12.3
End0.7
blue by 0.7
9105
#17
23.10.4
24.123.8
Auto8.6
Teleop12.5
End2.0
Third
8573
#26
15.30.0
14.915.0
Auto9.6
Teleop3.5
End2.2
red by 1.6
8732
#43
13.70.4
13.212.9
Auto6.3
Teleop7.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsMissed58%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed47%Ensemble oddsEarned