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Red50
914026.9
859812.6
356122.1
Blue87
23128.9
288127.7
731232.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61912040801001201405087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9140
#16
26.90.6
24.123.5
Auto9.1
Teleop16.4
End1.3
blue by 5.3
32.20.5
27.427.9
Auto11.3
Teleop17.7
End3.2
Second
3561
#27
22.10.6
22.321.7
Auto9.5
Teleop10.4
End2.2
blue by 6.9
231
#11
28.90.5
25.425.9
Auto7.1
Teleop17.5
End4.4
Third
8598
#36
12.60.6
12.311.7
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End1.9
blue by 15.0
2881
#15
27.70.5
26.326.8
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
2%Ensemble oddsMissed46%Ensemble oddsMissed