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Red99
910523.1
857624.2
246841.7
Blue61
258318.6
147735.3
510310.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9768204060801201401609961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#14
41.71.0
40.741.7
Auto8.7
Teleop29.5
End3.5
red by 6.4
35.30.3
36.636.3
Auto15.2
Teleop15.6
End4.5
Second
8576
#21
24.21.0
20.021.0
Auto8.5
Teleop13.4
End2.3
red by 5.5
2583
#19
18.60.3
16.616.3
Auto7.9
Teleop8.3
End2.4
Third
9105
#17
23.11.0
23.824.7
Auto8.6
Teleop12.5
End2.0
red by 12.9
5103
#41
10.20.3
11.811.5
Auto4.4
Teleop4.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
42%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsMissed