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Red120
11841.4
288127.7
761622.9
Blue97
589221.3
912844.0
975232.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91110608010012014016012097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#2
41.41.7
39.341.1
Auto15.3
Teleop19.4
End6.7
blue by 2.6
44.00.3
40.640.3
Auto15.6
Teleop25.5
End3.0
Second
2881
#15
27.71.7
26.828.5
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End2.3
blue by 4.4
9752
#20
32.10.3
33.032.7
Auto11.9
Teleop18.5
End1.7
Third
7616
#24
22.91.7
18.119.8
Auto7.6
Teleop14.3
End1.1
red by 1.6
5892
#23
21.30.3
23.323.0
Auto6.7
Teleop13.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
51%Ensemble oddsEarned29%Ensemble oddsMissed