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Red67
637726.3
356122.1
21589.3
Blue71
510310.2
910523.1
174519.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64562040801001206771

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6377
#12
26.30.5
25.826.3
Auto6.8
Teleop18.0
End1.5
red by 3.2
9105
#17
23.10.3
24.725.0
Auto8.6
Teleop12.5
End2.0
Second
3561
#27
22.10.5
21.722.2
Auto9.5
Teleop10.4
End2.2
red by 2.6
1745
#13
19.50.3
15.615.9
Auto6.3
Teleop12.2
End1.0
Third
2158
#40
9.30.5
9.510.0
Auto3.7
Teleop5.9
End-0.2
blue by 0.9
5103
#41
10.20.3
11.511.8
Auto4.4
Teleop4.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsEarned