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Red58
837017.4
367633.6
303515.0
Blue145
667238.7
300549.2
914026.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions641235010015058145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.60.5
31.631.1
Auto15.7
Teleop15.4
End2.6
blue by 15.5
49.22.4
45.848.1
Auto15.5
Teleop29.7
End4.1
Second
8370
#28
17.40.5
17.817.3
Auto5.9
Teleop10.4
End1.1
blue by 21.3
38.72.4
35.237.6
Auto10.8
Teleop25.0
End2.8
Third
3035
#39
15.00.5
15.615.2
Auto7.9
Teleop6.4
End0.8
blue by 11.8
9140
#16
26.92.4
23.225.6
Auto9.1
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned99%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned