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Red34
550317.0
801912.9
857315.3
Blue83
637726.3
859812.6
288127.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions467602040601001203483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5503
#37
17.01.0
16.815.8
Auto7.5
Teleop7.3
End2.3
blue by 10.6
2881
#15
27.71.2
27.028.2
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End2.3
Second
8573
#26
15.31.0
14.113.1
Auto9.6
Teleop3.5
End2.2
blue by 11.0
6377
#12
26.31.2
26.327.5
Auto6.8
Teleop18.0
End1.5
Third
8019
#42
12.91.0
14.613.5
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End1.6
red by 0.3
8598
#36
12.61.2
12.113.3
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned