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Red69
582920.2
258318.6
589221.3
Blue74
41822.4
174519.5
23128.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63742040801001206974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5892
#23
21.30.5
22.523.0
Auto6.7
Teleop13.0
End1.6
blue by 7.7
231
#11
28.90.6
26.427.0
Auto7.1
Teleop17.5
End4.4
Second
5829
#22
20.20.5
19.820.2
Auto7.7
Teleop11.7
End0.8
blue by 2.2
418
#18
22.40.6
22.322.9
Auto9.4
Teleop12.3
End0.7
Third
2583
#19
18.60.5
15.916.4
Auto7.9
Teleop8.3
End2.4
blue by 0.9
1745
#13
19.50.6
16.717.3
Auto6.3
Teleop12.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned59%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned