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Red140
367633.6
300549.2
464123.3
Blue48
914026.9
21589.3
850710.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11942010015014048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.22.7
48.150.9
Auto15.5
Teleop29.7
End4.1
red by 22.3
9140
#16
26.90.3
25.625.3
Auto9.1
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Second
33.62.7
31.133.8
Auto15.7
Teleop15.4
End2.6
red by 23.2
8507
#34
10.50.3
10.710.4
Auto5.4
Teleop3.6
End1.4
Third
4641
#31
23.32.7
19.622.4
Auto10.1
Teleop12.0
End1.3
red by 14.0
2158
#40
9.30.3
10.810.6
Auto3.7
Teleop5.9
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
42%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed