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Red112
887416.7
384746.8
14836.4
Blue129
331034.7
268919.7
62435.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11495406080140160180112129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.80.1
47.047.1
Auto19.6
Teleop21.4
End5.7
red by 11.3
624
#4
35.50.5
34.935.4
Auto10.5
Teleop21.8
End3.2
Second
148
#5
36.40.1
36.636.8
Auto12.5
Teleop19.7
End4.2
red by 1.8
3310
#13
34.70.5
34.134.6
Auto11.5
Teleop19.0
End4.2
Third
8874
#25
16.70.1
16.917.1
Auto5.7
Teleop8.4
End2.7
blue by 3.0
2689
#23
19.70.5
19.219.6
Auto8.0
Teleop11.0
End0.7