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Red118
62435.5
268919.7
331034.7
Blue80
712122.8
129629.1
271424.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98825015011880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#4
35.50.5
34.534.9
Auto10.5
Teleop21.8
End3.2
red by 6.4
1296
#14
29.10.1
29.229.1
Auto11.1
Teleop15.8
End2.2
Second
3310
#13
34.70.5
33.634.1
Auto11.5
Teleop19.0
End4.2
red by 10.5
2714
#30
24.10.1
24.224.1
Auto7.9
Teleop14.4
End1.8
Third
2689
#23
19.70.5
18.719.2
Auto8.0
Teleop11.0
End0.7
blue by 3.0
7121
#19
22.80.1
22.822.8
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End2.2