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Red85
543127.5
676812.9
331034.7
Blue61
852816.2
808827.4
918112.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6851204060801001201408561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3310
#13
34.71.7
27.929.6
Auto11.5
Teleop19.0
End4.2
red by 7.3
8088
#12
27.40.0
25.725.7
Auto10.2
Teleop15.4
End1.7
Second
27.51.7
20.121.8
Auto7.4
Teleop18.2
End1.9
red by 11.3
8528
#36
16.20.0
13.313.4
Auto8.7
Teleop6.9
End0.7
Third
6768
#28
12.91.7
11.613.3
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End2.2
red by 0.8
9181
#38
12.10.0
9.39.3
Auto4.0
Teleop2.5
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed