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Red64
541432.3
908015.0
712122.8
Blue42
521213.2
28827.8
912116.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions852702040601001201401606442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5414
#17
32.30.4
35.134.7
Auto8.0
Teleop23.4
End0.9
red by 15.6
9121
#29
16.70.7
13.614.3
Auto5.3
Teleop10.3
End1.2
Second
7121
#19
22.80.4
21.821.4
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End2.2
red by 9.5
5212
#31
13.20.7
12.913.6
Auto4.6
Teleop7.3
End1.3
Third
9080
#21
15.00.4
13.513.1
Auto5.5
Teleop8.8
End0.7
red by 7.1
2882
#42
7.80.7
5.36.0
Auto2.3
Teleop4.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed