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Red69
852816.2
636926.5
271424.1
Blue98
406330.8
542726.4
941824.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions638620401001201401606998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6369
#11
26.50.6
22.923.6
Auto8.6
Teleop17.6
End0.3
blue by 4.3
4063
#10
30.80.8
31.232.0
Auto11.5
Teleop17.1
End2.1
Second
2714
#30
24.10.6
23.223.8
Auto7.9
Teleop14.4
End1.8
blue by 2.3
26.40.8
25.626.5
Auto11.6
Teleop12.8
End2.0
Third
8528
#36
16.20.6
13.414.0
Auto8.7
Teleop6.9
End0.7
blue by 8.3
9418
#16
24.50.8
18.519.4
Auto11.3
Teleop10.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned