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Red75
676812.9
664517.1
680034.5
Blue47
887416.7
419221.0
543127.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646102040801001201407547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.50.8
32.333.2
Auto13.6
Teleop17.1
End3.8
red by 7.0
27.50.6
21.120.5
Auto7.4
Teleop18.2
End1.9
Second
6645
#20
17.10.8
12.012.9
Auto5.8
Teleop8.5
End2.8
blue by 3.9
4192
#15
21.00.6
18.317.8
Auto9.2
Teleop10.3
End1.4
Third
6768
#28
12.90.8
13.314.1
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End2.2
blue by 3.8
8874
#25
16.70.6
16.215.6
Auto5.7
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned21%Ensemble oddsMissed