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Red41
885820.0
648812.8
951214.7
Blue48
268716.3
415315.1
268919.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4260020801001204148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8858
#18
20.00.1
15.415.4
Auto7.7
Teleop10.3
End2.0
red by 0.3
2689
#23
19.70.3
15.515.2
Auto8.0
Teleop11.0
End0.7
Second
9512
#41
14.70.1
15.115.1
Auto6.5
Teleop8.0
End0.1
blue by 1.7
2687
#39
16.30.3
23.222.9
Auto7.2
Teleop8.5
End0.6
Third
6488
#34
12.80.1
9.69.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End2.2
blue by 2.4
4153
#26
15.10.3
13.213.0
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed