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Red89
557225.8
664517.1
543127.5
Blue50
648812.8
271424.1
817717.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655202040801001208950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.51.3
20.521.8
Auto7.4
Teleop18.2
End1.9
red by 3.4
2714
#30
24.10.2
23.923.7
Auto7.9
Teleop14.4
End1.8
Second
25.81.3
23.925.2
Auto11.9
Teleop13.1
End0.8
red by 8.2
8177
#32
17.60.2
15.014.7
Auto7.1
Teleop9.7
End0.7
Third
6645
#20
17.11.3
12.914.2
Auto5.8
Teleop8.5
End2.8
red by 4.3
6488
#34
12.80.2
9.69.4
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed