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Red65
367919.9
284821.5
415315.1
Blue79
808827.4
541432.3
636926.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions569602040801201401606579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
#33
21.50.2
20.720.5
Auto7.9
Teleop12.9
End0.8
blue by 10.8
5414
#17
32.30.2
34.734.4
Auto8.0
Teleop23.4
End0.9
Second
3679
#27
19.90.2
22.021.9
Auto6.5
Teleop12.2
End1.2
blue by 7.5
8088
#12
27.40.2
24.224.0
Auto10.2
Teleop15.4
End1.7
Third
4153
#26
15.10.2
13.012.8
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End1.2
blue by 11.4
6369
#11
26.50.2
23.323.1
Auto8.6
Teleop17.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed