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Red58
676812.9
71156.7
32427.8
Blue70
885820.0
406330.8
367919.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4580020601001205870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#9
27.80.7
25.326.0
Auto7.5
Teleop19.6
End0.8
blue by 3.0
4063
#10
30.80.6
30.730.1
Auto11.5
Teleop17.1
End2.1
Second
6768
#28
12.90.7
14.415.1
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End2.2
blue by 7.1
8858
#18
20.00.6
17.216.7
Auto7.7
Teleop10.3
End2.0
Third
7115
#40
6.70.7
5.56.2
Auto3.6
Teleop2.8
End0.3
blue by 13.2
3679
#27
19.90.6
20.620.0
Auto6.5
Teleop12.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned61%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed