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Red62
541432.3
912116.7
852816.2
Blue70
918112.1
268919.7
129629.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions765720401001201406270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5414
#17
32.30.3
34.734.4
Auto8.0
Teleop23.4
End0.9
red by 3.2
1296
#14
29.10.8
27.628.3
Auto11.1
Teleop15.8
End2.2
Second
9121
#29
16.70.3
15.615.3
Auto5.3
Teleop10.3
End1.2
blue by 3.0
2689
#23
19.70.8
16.717.4
Auto8.0
Teleop11.0
End0.7
Third
8528
#36
16.20.3
16.316.0
Auto8.7
Teleop6.9
End0.7
red by 4.1
9181
#38
12.10.8
9.410.2
Auto4.0
Teleop2.5
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed38%Ensemble oddsMissed