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Red80
420635.5
908015.0
406330.8
Blue79
941824.5
331034.7
885820.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85760501001508079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.50.3
32.432.7
Auto11.2
Teleop21.2
End3.1
red by 0.8
3310
#13
34.70.6
30.330.9
Auto11.5
Teleop19.0
End4.2
Second
4063
#10
30.80.3
30.130.4
Auto11.5
Teleop17.1
End2.1
red by 6.3
9418
#16
24.50.6
22.923.5
Auto11.3
Teleop10.2
End3.0
Third
9080
#21
15.00.3
13.213.4
Auto5.5
Teleop8.8
End0.7
blue by 5.1
8858
#18
20.00.6
16.717.3
Auto7.7
Teleop10.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned67%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed42%Ensemble oddsEarned