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Red65
268919.7
367919.9
874916.9
Blue80
542726.4
680034.5
817717.6
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5587020401001201406580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3679
#27
19.90.8
20.020.8
Auto6.5
Teleop12.2
End1.2
blue by 14.6
34.50.1
32.232.0
Auto13.6
Teleop17.1
End3.8
Second
2689
#23
19.70.8
17.418.2
Auto8.0
Teleop11.0
End0.7
blue by 6.7
26.40.1
25.825.7
Auto11.6
Teleop12.8
End2.0
Third
8749
#37
16.90.8
16.217.0
Auto6.7
Teleop8.5
End1.7
blue by 0.6
8177
#32
17.60.1
16.816.7
Auto7.1
Teleop9.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned60%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed