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Red74
268919.7
521213.2
808827.4
Blue48
905415.3
268716.3
271424.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646202040801001201401607448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8088
#12
27.40.4
28.428.8
Auto10.2
Teleop15.4
End1.7
red by 3.2
2714
#30
24.10.9
23.222.3
Auto7.9
Teleop14.4
End1.8
Second
2689
#23
19.70.4
18.218.6
Auto8.0
Teleop11.0
End0.7
red by 3.4
2687
#39
16.30.9
20.419.5
Auto7.2
Teleop8.5
End0.6
Third
5212
#31
13.20.4
10.711.2
Auto4.6
Teleop7.3
End1.3
blue by 2.1
9054
#22
15.30.9
12.711.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed