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Red47
415315.1
951214.7
676812.9
Blue64
918112.1
874916.9
712122.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49562040801004764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4153
#26
15.10.1
14.314.4
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End1.2
blue by 7.6
7121
#19
22.80.9
22.323.3
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End2.2
Second
9512
#41
14.70.1
16.416.5
Auto6.5
Teleop8.0
End0.1
blue by 2.3
8749
#37
16.90.9
17.017.9
Auto6.7
Teleop8.5
End1.7
Third
6768
#28
12.90.1
14.714.8
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End2.2
red by 0.8
9181
#38
12.10.9
10.611.5
Auto4.0
Teleop2.5
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned