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Red48
941824.5
887416.7
28827.8
Blue78
284821.5
129629.1
908813.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47720204060801001204878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9418
#16
24.50.2
23.523.3
Auto11.3
Teleop10.2
End3.0
blue by 4.6
1296
#14
29.10.5
28.228.7
Auto11.1
Teleop15.8
End2.2
Second
8874
#25
16.70.2
15.815.7
Auto5.7
Teleop8.4
End2.7
blue by 4.8
2848
#33
21.50.5
21.622.0
Auto7.9
Teleop12.9
End0.8
Third
2882
#42
7.80.2
6.36.1
Auto2.3
Teleop4.5
End1.0
blue by 5.2
9088
#35
13.00.5
12.412.8
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed