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Red73
384746.8
71156.7
852816.2
Blue69
14836.4
664517.1
908015.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7172506080901007369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.80.5
40.941.5
Auto19.6
Teleop21.4
End5.7
red by 10.4
148
#5
36.40.1
36.436.5
Auto12.5
Teleop19.7
End4.2
Second
8528
#36
16.20.5
17.518.0
Auto8.7
Teleop6.9
End0.7
blue by 0.9
6645
#20
17.10.1
15.215.3
Auto5.8
Teleop8.5
End2.8
Third
7115
#40
6.70.5
6.46.9
Auto3.6
Teleop2.8
End0.3
blue by 8.3
9080
#21
15.00.1
13.713.9
Auto5.5
Teleop8.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed44%Ensemble oddsMissed