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Red73
636926.5
97863.3
406330.8
Blue82
680034.5
905415.3
808827.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions608520401001201407382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4063
#10
30.80.7
30.130.8
Auto11.5
Teleop17.1
End2.1
blue by 3.7
34.50.2
33.433.6
Auto13.6
Teleop17.1
End3.8
Second
6369
#11
26.50.7
23.924.6
Auto8.6
Teleop17.6
End0.3
blue by 0.9
8088
#12
27.40.2
28.829.0
Auto10.2
Teleop15.4
End1.7
Third
9786
#43
3.30.7
3.34.0
Auto1.3
Teleop1.5
End0.6
blue by 12.0
9054
#22
15.30.2
11.812.0
Auto4.4
Teleop8.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned