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Red67
271424.1
415315.1
543127.5
Blue46
367919.9
712122.8
769114.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6866204060801001206746

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.4
24.224.6
Auto7.4
Teleop18.2
End1.9
red by 4.8
7121
#19
22.80.9
23.322.3
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End2.2
Second
2714
#30
24.10.4
22.322.7
Auto7.9
Teleop14.4
End1.8
red by 4.2
3679
#27
19.90.9
20.319.3
Auto6.5
Teleop12.2
End1.2
Third
4153
#26
15.10.4
14.414.8
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End1.2
red by 0.2
7691
#24
14.90.9
16.415.5
Auto3.2
Teleop9.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed