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Red70
817717.6
874916.9
908813.0
Blue71
676812.9
129629.1
541432.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46890204060801001207071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8177
#32
17.60.9
16.217.1
Auto7.1
Teleop9.7
End0.7
blue by 14.7
5414
#17
32.31.0
32.031.0
Auto8.0
Teleop23.4
End0.9
Second
8749
#37
16.90.9
17.918.8
Auto6.7
Teleop8.5
End1.7
blue by 12.2
1296
#14
29.11.0
28.727.7
Auto11.1
Teleop15.8
End2.2
Third
9088
#35
13.00.9
12.813.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End0.6
red by 0.1
6768
#28
12.91.0
14.813.9
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsEarned