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Red42
284821.5
918112.1
908015.0
Blue82
885820.0
268919.7
542726.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4974204060801001204282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
#33
21.50.4
22.021.7
Auto7.9
Teleop12.9
End0.8
blue by 4.9
26.40.9
26.327.2
Auto11.6
Teleop12.8
End2.0
Second
9080
#21
15.00.4
13.913.5
Auto5.5
Teleop8.8
End0.7
blue by 5.1
8858
#18
20.00.9
18.719.6
Auto7.7
Teleop10.3
End2.0
Third
9181
#38
12.10.4
11.511.2
Auto4.0
Teleop2.5
End5.6
blue by 7.6
2689
#23
19.70.9
18.619.5
Auto8.0
Teleop11.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed54%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed