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Red70
712122.8
808827.4
415315.1
Blue92
420635.5
680034.5
769114.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70954060801201407092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8088
#12
27.40.1
29.029.1
Auto10.2
Teleop15.4
End1.7
blue by 8.1
35.50.3
34.134.3
Auto11.2
Teleop21.2
End3.1
Second
7121
#19
22.80.1
22.322.5
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End2.2
blue by 11.7
34.50.3
33.633.9
Auto13.6
Teleop17.1
End3.8
Third
4153
#26
15.10.1
14.814.9
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End1.2
red by 0.2
7691
#24
14.90.3
15.515.8
Auto3.2
Teleop9.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned36%Ensemble oddsEarned