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Red38
874916.9
852816.2
676812.9
Blue94
905415.3
664517.1
636926.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565840507080903894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8749
#37
16.91.0
18.817.8
Auto6.7
Teleop8.5
End1.7
blue by 9.6
6369
#11
26.51.8
24.626.4
Auto8.6
Teleop17.6
End0.3
Second
8528
#36
16.21.0
18.017.0
Auto8.7
Teleop6.9
End0.7
blue by 0.9
6645
#20
17.11.8
15.317.1
Auto5.8
Teleop8.5
End2.8
Third
6768
#28
12.91.0
13.912.9
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End2.2
blue by 2.4
9054
#22
15.31.8
12.013.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned