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Red78
367919.9
543127.5
62435.5
Blue27
912116.7
268716.3
97863.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions943802060801201407827

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#4
35.50.0
34.634.6
Auto10.5
Teleop21.8
End3.2
red by 18.8
9121
#29
16.71.7
17.716.0
Auto5.3
Teleop10.3
End1.2
Second
27.50.0
24.624.6
Auto7.4
Teleop18.2
End1.9
red by 11.2
2687
#39
16.31.7
19.117.4
Auto7.2
Teleop8.5
End0.6
Third
3679
#27
19.90.0
19.319.3
Auto6.5
Teleop12.2
End1.2
red by 16.6
9786
#43
3.31.7
4.02.3
Auto1.3
Teleop1.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed